Saturday, August 11, 2007

Divorce + Desertions = Emergency

There are many still around who keep wondering why Musharaf was in such a rush to impose a state of emergency in Pakistan

Here is your Blogger’s version as to why.

By now we all know that the Commando General is in a spot and is desperate to stay in power. With his hullabalooed deal with Benazir in sudden doubt - constitutional uncertainties aside - the only option left for him is to get the existing assemblies to ‘re-elect’ him.

The reality is that now even this fraudulent path to re-election is under threat. To get re-elected he still requires a majority of votes from the existing assemblies.

While Javaid Hashmi, the recently released PML(N) leader, may have exaggerated somewhat when he claimed:

that half of the ruling PML(Q) members had submitted with him their resignations and he would use them at an appropriate time.

The fact remains that many of the dubiously elected rats from the so-called ‘King Party’ are now eager to flee Musharraf’s sinking ship.

The panicky Gujju Chaudhries are acutely aware of these wholesale desertions and dread the idea of Nawaz Sharif’s returning with the Supreme Court’s consent. With the Sharif brothers presence in Lahore these desertions would turn into an unstoppable torrent, burying any hopes of Musharraf’s re-election through the existing assemblies with them.

So today’s newspaper headline come as little surprise:
Exiled leaders’ return can cause turmoil: Musharraf

ISLAMABAD: The return of leaders currently living abroad can cause turmoil in the country, leading to instability, President Pervez Musharraf declared on Saturday.

He said that a stable situation was a must for holding general elections. “It would not be proper if disturbances continue as there should be stability in the run-up of the elections,” he asserted.

In Commando General-speak:
stability’ means Musharraf in power
turmoil’ means Musharraf kicked out of power.


Anonymous said...

I believe that the decision to impose emergency has been postponed. A trigger: Sharif's return, May 12 inquiry, or some pretext of bombing in Waziristan or say Islamabad on 14th August will provide the justification to do it.

There is a limit to which a dictator will listen to US diktat. Its only a matter of time.... IMKHALIL

Anonymous said...

Why is Nawaz Sharif's return a bigger threat than Benazir Bhutto's return?

Anonymous said...

NAWAZ's return is not a bigger threat....But a) Musharraf overthrew him so there is a certian amount of ill-will there and b)he actually made a deal for his safe passage out of the country and signed papers agreeing (voluntarily) that he would not come back or engage in politics for 10 years. The Saudis helped him negotiate the deal. His party is not as big a threat at the moment as it lost a lot of people to the Kings Party/the Chaudries....
He is acting like a hero now - issuing strong statements from afar but he left people like Jawed Hashmi to rot in jail for years and years and years.....while sitting in a marble palace - paid for by the Saudi's..... MAHI

Onlooker said...

Attempting to take an objective viewpoint one could say PML(Q)'s strength lies in Punjab (and not in Sindh, NWFP or Balochistan). And it is in this majority province where most of the desertions are taking place.

Benazir Bhutto's on and off personal negotiations with the Army Dictator have troubled all those who have been yelling 'Go, Musharraf, Go!' for the past few months (and this includes many leading PPP members).

Hence the possible arrival of solidly anti-Musharraf Nawaz Sharif in Lahore has put the cat among the pigeons in Musharraf's camp.

Please try and remember that the public groundswell is anti-Musharraf and not particularly pro any party. Anyone in central Punjab who establishes solid anti-Musharraf credentials (which Benazir Bhutto currently lacks)is set to benefit from the prevailing public mood.

It is really as simple as that!

AAS said...

I agree with ONLOOKER's assesment. To be compeletly honest i would rather have MUSH stay in power and held in check by the judiciary and other political forces than ever want to see Nawaz and Bhutto on Pakistani soil.

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Anonymous said...