Thursday, April 14, 2005

Guju Chaudhries in a Fix?

Chaudhry Pervez Elahi must be worried man these days.

If he allows the PPP to hold their proposed mammoth rally at Lahore on 16 April to celebrate Asif Zardari's return, he runs a huge risk. He knows that the event could easily generate a momentum that will break the tenuous grip the Gujrat Chaudhries currently maintain over Punjab's politics.

Alternatively, if he cracks down - as he is currently proposing to do - with the full might of his administration (i.e. the usual thuggish Punjabi tulla) on the PPP, the backlash might destabilize the provincial government and lead to Pervez Elahi losing his job.

For the moment he has 'Commando' Musharraf's full support. But reality suggests that members of PML (Chumcha Group), like Pervez Elahi, cannot
count on their master's continued support. Right now Musharraf has only one supreme national interest and that is to resolutely hang onto his kursi. Under US pressure the military has to strike a deal with the PPP sooner or later.

Experienced politicos know that loyalty towards its supporters has never been a strong suit of the Khakis. Just ask Afaq Ahmed and Aamir Khan of the MQM (Haqiqi).

Perhaps it's time Pervez Elahi looked at the brighter side of life. Very few of his predecessors have managed to stay in office for as long as his 30 months. Enjoy it while it lasts, I’d say…

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